Read this before you over-invest in the latest tech platform, decide to lease rather than buy that new computer, or expect to resell your smartwatc ...
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Summum ením bonum exposuit vacuitatem doloris; Proclivi currit oratio. Etenim nec iustitia nec amicitia esse omnino poterunt, nisi ipsae per se expetuntur. Nemo nostrum istius generis asotos iucunde putat vivere. Duo Reges: constructio interrete. Philosophi autem in suis lectulis plerumque moriuntur. Sed finge non solum callidum eum, qui aliquid improbe faciat, verum etiam praepotentem, ut M. Sed erat aequius Triarium aliquid de dissensione nostra iudicare. Vitae autem degendae ratio maxime quidem illis placuit quieta. Sed quot homines, tot sententiae; Et quidem saepe quaerimus verbum Latinum par Graeco et quod idem valeat;
Quod idem cum vestri faciant, non satis magnam tribuunt inventoribus gratiam. Conferam tecum, quam cuique verso rem subicias; Cenasti in vita numquam bene, cum omnia in ista Consumis squilla atque acupensere cum decimano. Habent enim et bene longam et satis litigiosam disputationem. Nunc haec primum fortasse audientis servire debemus. Utrum igitur tibi litteram videor an totas paginas commovere? Ut optime, secundum naturam affectum esse possit. Videmus in quodam volucrium genere non nulla indicia pietatis, cognitionem, memoriam, in multis etiam desideria videmus. Ait enim se, si uratur, Quam hoc suave! dicturum. Scientiam pollicentur, quam non erat mirum sapientiae cupido patria esse cariorem. Universa enim illorum ratione cum tota vestra confligendum puto.
Dempta enim aeternitate nihilo beatior Iuppiter quam Epicurus; Themistocles quidem, cum ei Simonides an quis alius artem memoriae polliceretur, Oblivionis, inquit, mallem. Id enim volumus, id contendimus, ut officii fructus sit ipsum officium. Ad eos igitur converte te, quaeso. Ut optime, secundum naturam affectum esse possit.
- Consider leasing tech.
A common application of Moore’s Law for many individuals and ...
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Conferam tecum, quam cuique verso rem subicias; Sic, et quidem diligentius saepiusque ista loquemur inter nos agemusque communiter. Quid affers, cur Thorius, cur Caius Postumius, cur omnium horum magister, Orata, non iucundissime vixerit? Intellegi quidem, ut propter aliam quampiam rem, verbi gratia propter voluptatem, nos amemus; Duo Reges: constructio interrete. Quae est igitur causa istarum angustiarum? Quod non faceret, si in voluptate summum bonum poneret. Quae tamen a te agetur non melior, quam illae sunt, quas interdum optines.
Nec vero alia sunt quaerenda contra Carneadeam illam sententiam. Quodsi vultum tibi, si incessum fingeres, quo gravior viderere, non esses tui similis; Sed emolumenta communia esse dicuntur, recte autem facta et peccata non habentur communia. Atque his de rebus et splendida est eorum et illustris oratio. Quarum ambarum rerum cum medicinam pollicetur, luxuriae licentiam pollicetur. Te enim iudicem aequum puto, modo quae dicat ille bene noris. Hoc Hieronymus summum bonum esse dixit. Quid ait Aristoteles reliquique Platonis alumni? Illa videamus, quae a te de amicitia dicta sunt. Quaero igitur, quo modo hae tantae commendationes a natura profectae subito a sapientia relictae sint.
Sin tantum modo ad indicia veteris memoriae cognoscenda, curiosorum. Nec vero sum nescius esse utilitatem in historia, non modo voluptatem. Sic enim censent, oportunitatis esse beate vivere. Duae sunt enim res quoque, ne tu verba solum putes. Philosophi autem in suis lectulis plerumque moriuntur. Res enim se praeclare habebat, et quidem in utraque parte.
Moore’s Law is not a law in a scientific sense, more an observation and predictive mental model. To that end, some have argued that it is self-fulfilling, with companies feeling the need to keep up with Moore’s law — though that seems like less of a limitation and more of a complement.
Causal relationships aside, many argue that Moore’s Law is coming to its end because of the challenges to build smaller circuits, as the amount of energy needed to cool down the transistors will become larger than the amount of energy already passing through the transistor.
However, that has been a point of debate when taking Moore’s Law as a loose definition of exponential growth. While computers won’t necessarily improve in the ways Moore originally referenced, advancements in cloud computing, quantum physics and the internet of things are likely to create other forms or rapid development.
Your USB stick vs Apollo 11 mainframe computer.
It’s not just your smartphone that is more powerful than the old supercomputers, this ZME Science article notes that even a USB stick or WiFi router is technically more powerful than the 1969 mainframe computers used to guide the first rocket to the moon.
The reducing cost of technology.
Jerrold Siegel from the University of Missouri, notes in this article that: “A computer chip that contained 2,000 transistors and cost $1,000 in 1970, $500 in 1972, $250 in 1974, and $0.97 in 1990 costs less than $0.02 to manufacture today A personal computer that cost $3,000 in 1990, $1,500 in 1992, and $750 in 1994 would now cost about $5.”
Moore’s law is a model used to understand the rapid development of technology.
Use the following examples of connected and complementary models to weave Moore’s law into your broader latticework of mental models. Alternatively, discover your own connections by exploring the category list above.
Connected models:
- Compounding: to understand the exponential growth element of Moore’s law.
- Red queen effect: understanding the pace of movement in the broader industry.
Complementary models:
- Zawinski’s law: in understanding expectations for faster development of broad solutions.
- Opportunity cost: to consider the alternative costs of commiting to technology solutions without a view to their potential obsolescence in the medium term.
- The Lindy effect: perhaps a counter to the wisdom that past time can predict future longevity.
This law was inspired by Gordon Moore, co-founder of Fairchild Semiconductor and CEO of Intel. He made the observation in 1965 when he projected the rate of growth for another decade and has expressed surprise at how long the phenomena has persisted.
Find out more in Moore's Law: The Life of Gordon Moore, Silicon Valley's Quiet Revolutionary by Arnold Thackray, David Brock, and Rachel Jones.
Also, consider whether some have been too quick to claim that Moore’s law is dead by viewing this in-depth opinion piece in Venture Beat.
Oops, That’s Members’ Only!
Fortunately, it only costs US$5/month to Join ModelThinkers and access everything so that you can rapidly discover, learn, and apply the world’s most powerful ideas.
ModelThinkers membership at a glance:
“Yeah, we hate pop ups too. But we wanted to let you know that, with ModelThinkers, we’re making it easier for you to adapt, innovate and create value. We hope you’ll join us and the growing community of ModelThinkers today.”